We constructed a comprehensive paramaterised multi-period financial model of the client’s profitability metrics under arbitrary assumptions around volume and macro-economic scenarios. We generated multiple stochastic macro-economic scenarios incorporating the client’s forecasts. We developed a visual spreadsheet tool to illustrate the likely range of consequences under the pricing options envisaged by the client. This process allowed the client to refine their offering and confirm that their business strategy gave them desirable levels of risk/reward from the unhedged exposures.
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Sales price indexing vs cost price indexing – Hedging Analysis for a gas trading entity
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